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Nashville Predators v Minnesota Wild
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nashville Predators (Local)
Predicción 42.78%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.755%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.572%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.85%42.78%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.242.3247.62%44.75%44.64%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Minnesota Wild (Visitante)
Predicción 57.22%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.15%57.22%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.87%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nashville Predators (Local): 42.78%; Minnesota Wild (Visitante): 57.22%. Para Nashville Predators (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.32, con un valor esperado de -0.755%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.755%E -0.325%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-01 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 23:28 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.61%E -0.700%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.04%E -0.890%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-01 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 03:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.18%E -1.86%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-30 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.86%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.86%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.60%E -2.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.60%E -2.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.60%E -2.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.46%E -2.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.46%E -2.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.91% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.09% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-01 09:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09% | 14.0% | 2026-10-01 23:59 |