Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 1.93
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Predators (Local): 49.22%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 50.78%. For Nashville Predators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.911%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.911%E +0.444%K +0.867%G +0.008% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.60%E -4.78%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.57%E -3.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.03%E -2.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 07:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 18:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.38%E -6.96%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.16%E -7.03%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-02 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.10% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.92% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.98% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 19:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.41% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34% | 11.3% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.67% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38% | 14.6% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |