L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.05
avec la cote maximale 1.93
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.911%E +0.444%K +0.867%G +0.008% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.60%E -4.78%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.55%E -0.775%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.57%E -3.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:35 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.01%E -2.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.03%E -2.13%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 16:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.42%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 18:35 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 18:34 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 07:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 10:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 14:10 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 18:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.47%E -3.41%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.38%E -6.96%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.16%E -7.03%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 0.0% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 19:00 |
| Novig | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 19:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-02 19:04 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-03-02 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 18:24 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 18:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.32% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-02 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.10% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.92% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.98% | 10.7% | 2026-03-02 19:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.41% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34% | 11.3% | 2026-03-02 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.67% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38% | 14.6% | 2026-03-02 18:59 |