The School of Odds
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Montréal Canadiens v New Jersey Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.81%57.08%57.11%58.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.681.681.7265.36%59.63%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Jersey Devils (Visit)

Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%42.92%42.89%44.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.222.3048.78%45.03%45.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 57.00%; New Jersey Devils (Visit): 43.00%. For New Jersey Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.27%E -2.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.27%E -2.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.13%E -3.30%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.97%E -0.863%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.97%E -0.863%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 19:25
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 18:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 21:54
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 14:25
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:00
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 22:53
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 22:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.84%E -2.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.84%E -2.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:00
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:00
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 09:53
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:53
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:44
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 22:24
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:14
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.78%E -8.36%K -24.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-05 23:00
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-05 22:54
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-05 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-05 19:15
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-05 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.9%2026-04-05 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-04-05 22:50
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.65%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.29%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-04-05 22:50
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-05 15:14
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-04-05 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%7.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%8.0%2026-04-05 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-04-05 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.29%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.36%10.4%2026-04-05 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.45%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%12.1%2026-04-05 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.64%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%14.1%2026-04-05 22:55