La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v New Jersey Devils

Inizio: 2026-04-05 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 57.00%1.75quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -2.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.81%57.08%57.11%58.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.681.681.7265.36%59.63%59.52%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New Jersey Devils (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.00%2.33quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.482%
Kelly -0.853%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.62%42.92%42.89%44.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.222.222.3048.78%45.03%45.05%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 22:50
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.27%E -2.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.27%E -2.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 23:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -7.13%E -3.30%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:00
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.97%E -0.863%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 14:24
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.97%E -0.863%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 14:24
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 19:25
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 18:24
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 18:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 21:54
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 14:25
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 22:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:00
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 22:53
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:24
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 23:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 22:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.84%E -2.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.84%E -2.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 23:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:00
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:00
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 09:53
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:53
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:44
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 22:24
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:14
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:14
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 12:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 23:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.78%E -8.36%K -24.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-05 23:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-05 22:54
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-05 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-05 19:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-05 23:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 15:14
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-04-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.07%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.9%2026-04-05 22:55
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-04-05 22:50
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.65%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.29%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-04-05 22:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-05 15:14
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-04-05 15:14
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-04-05 22:44
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%7.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%8.0%2026-04-05 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-04-05 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.29%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.36%10.4%2026-04-05 22:59
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.45%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%12.1%2026-04-05 15:14
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.64%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%14.1%2026-04-05 22:55