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Montréal Canadiens v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prediction 42.09%2.38fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.815%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%42.26%41.99%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.27%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 57.91%1.73fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.74%58.01%58.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.661.651.6965.79%60.40%60.42%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 42.09%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 57.91%. For Montréal Canadiens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.10%E -0.468%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.10%E -0.468%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.52%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.52%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.05%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.05%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 23:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.97%E -7.87%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.66% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 23:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.14% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 00:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |