L’École des cotesFrançais
Montréal Canadiens v Carolina Hurricanes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prévision 42.09%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -0.815%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.25%42.26%41.99%44.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.27%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.91%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%57.74%58.01%58.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.661.651.6965.79%60.40%60.42%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.10%E -0.468%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.70%E -1.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.10%E -0.468%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.52%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.52%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 22:00 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.18%E -3.81%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| ReBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.05%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.05%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Caesars | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.89%E -2.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:19 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betsson | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.73%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.28%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 23:48 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.97%E -7.87%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 00:10 |
| BetOpenly | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.66% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 23:39 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 23:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.14% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 00:08 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.27% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 00:00 |