The School of Odds
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Montréal Canadiens v Boston Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prediction 58.92%1.70fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%58.93%58.96%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.621.621.6567.57%61.76%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 41.08%2.43fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.07%41.04%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.332.342.4046.08%42.94%42.64%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 58.92%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 41.08%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-17 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 20:45
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 16:50
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 18:39
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.11%E -2.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:55
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 15:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 23:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 17:44
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 21:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 21:00
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:44
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.24%E -0.939%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 22:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.79%E -8.64%K -26.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.86%E -5.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-03-17 22:55
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 23:05
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 23:05
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-17 23:05
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-17 23:05
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-17 23:05
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-17 19:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-17 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-17 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-17 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-17 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.0%2026-03-17 23:05
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%4.5%2026-03-17 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-03-17 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.3%2026-03-17 22:00
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-17 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-17 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-17 22:50
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-17 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-17 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-03-17 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-17 22:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%8.6%2026-03-17 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.35%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%8.9%2026-03-17 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%9.1%2026-03-17 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%9.4%2026-03-17 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%9.6%2026-03-17 23:02
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.17%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%11.1%2026-03-17 23:02
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.14%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%14.1%2026-03-17 23:05