默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Montréal Canadiens v Boston Bruins

开赛时间： 2026-03-17 23:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Montréal Canadiens (主队)

预测 58.92%1.70公平赔率

EV -2.78%

优势 -1.68%

Kelly -4.27%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

58.14%58.93%58.96%60.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.481.621.621.6567.57%61.76%61.73%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Bruins (客队)

预测 41.08%2.43公平赔率

EV -1.41%

优势 -0.589%

Kelly -1.01%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布

40.00%41.07%41.04%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.172.332.342.4046.08%42.94%42.64%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Montréal Canadiens (主队)：58.92%；Boston Bruins (客队)：41.08%。对于“Boston Bruins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.40，期望值为-1.41%，未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-03-17 22:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-17 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-17 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-17 20:45
BetUS🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-17 16:50
Everygame🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-17 18:39
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.11%E -2.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-17 22:50
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-17 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-17 15:00
PlayUp🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-17 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.96%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-17 22:50
BetAnything🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-17 23:05
Bet Right🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-17 22:55
GTbets🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 15:00
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 14:55
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 17:45
FanDuel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-17 23:05
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 23:05
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 15:00
Neds🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 17:44
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-17 21:00
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-17 21:00
Fliff🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 23:05
TAB🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 21:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-17 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 17:45
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 17:44
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-17 22:39
SportsBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 23:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-17 22:50
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.41%E -0.589%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.24%E -0.939%K -1.62%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-17 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-16 15:05
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-17 22:49
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.79%E -8.64%K -26.66%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.86%E -5.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-17 22:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%	2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%	-0.0%	2026-03-17 22:55
ProphetX◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%	0.2%	2026-03-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%	0.5%	2026-03-17 23:05
Novig◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%	0.5%	2026-03-17 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-03-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-03-17 23:05
Matchbook◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-03-17 23:05
Smarkets◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%	1.2%	2026-03-17 23:05
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%	1.9%	2026-03-17 19:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-03-17 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-03-17 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-03-17 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%	3.1%	2026-03-17 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.52%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%	4.0%	2026-03-17 23:05
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%	4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%	4.5%	2026-03-17 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%	4.7%	2026-03-17 22:15
Coolbet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%	5.3%	2026-03-17 22:00
Unibet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.19%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%	5.3%	2026-03-17 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.32%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%	5.6%	2026-03-17 22:50
Grosvenor🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.32%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%	5.6%	2026-03-17 22:50
Casumo🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.32%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%	5.6%	2026-03-17 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%	6.6%	2026-03-17 22:55
TABtouch🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%	6.9%	2026-03-17 22:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.35%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%	7.7%	2026-03-17 22:50
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%	8.6%	2026-03-17 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.35%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%	8.9%	2026-03-17 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.29%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%	4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%	9.1%	2026-03-17 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%	9.4%	2026-03-17 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.01%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%	9.6%	2026-03-17 23:02
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.17%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%	11.1%	2026-03-17 23:02
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 47.14%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%	14.1%	2026-03-17 23:05