The School of Odds
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Minnesota Wild v Utah Mammoth

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prediction 59.02%1.69fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.08%59.19%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.621.621.6767.57%61.75%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Mammoth (Visit)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -0.409%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.92%40.81%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4346.51%42.95%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Wild (Local): 59.02%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 40.98%. For Utah Mammoth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.409%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.44%E -0.864%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 00:00
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.44%E -0.864%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 14:29
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 23:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:55
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 16:40
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 16:40
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:54
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:35
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:40
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.409%E -0.168%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.64%E -0.683%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.66%E -8.55%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -11.88%E -5.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-10 23:57
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.19%-0.5%2026-03-10 23:55
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-11 00:00
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-11 00:00
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-03-10 22:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%4.5%2026-03-11 00:00
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%4.6%2026-03-10 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-10 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:29
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-10 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-10 16:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-10 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-10 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-03-10 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-03-11 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%7.3%2026-03-10 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%7.9%2026-03-11 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%8.7%2026-03-11 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%8.8%2026-03-10 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%9.4%2026-03-11 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.54%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%10.8%2026-03-10 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.44%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%11.0%2026-03-10 23:58