L’École des cotes

Minnesota Wild v Utah Mammoth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prévision 59.02%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.864%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.93%59.08%59.19%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.621.621.6767.57%61.75%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Utah Mammoth (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.98%2.44cote équitable
EV -0.409%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%40.92%40.81%42.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.352.4346.51%42.95%42.55%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.44%E -0.864%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 00:00
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.44%E -0.864%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 14:29
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 22:10
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:55
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 23:55
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:55
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:35
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 16:40
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 16:40
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:54
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:30
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:00
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:55
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:40
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.10%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 00:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.409%E -0.168%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.64%E -0.683%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:35
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.66%E -8.55%K -26.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -11.88%E -5.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-10 23:57
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.19%-0.5%2026-03-10 23:55
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-11 00:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-10 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-11 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-03-11 00:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-10 23:55
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-11 00:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-03-10 22:20

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 16:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 16:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-03-10 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%4.5%2026-03-11 00:00
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%4.6%2026-03-10 23:55
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-10 23:55
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-03-10 22:29
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-10 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-10 16:40
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-10 16:40
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-03-10 16:40
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%6.8%2026-03-10 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-03-11 00:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%7.3%2026-03-10 16:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%7.9%2026-03-11 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%8.7%2026-03-11 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%8.8%2026-03-10 23:59
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-10 23:55
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%9.4%2026-03-11 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.54%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%10.8%2026-03-10 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.44%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%11.0%2026-03-10 23:58