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Minnesota Wild v Dallas Stars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Wild (Local)
Prediction 54.48%1.84fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.47%54.26%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.761.8061.73%57.00%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Stars (Visit)
Prediction 45.52%2.20fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.53%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.102.1752.08%47.74%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Wild (Local): 54.48%; Dallas Stars (Visit): 45.52%. For Dallas Stars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.04%E -1.43%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 01:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.49%E -1.39%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.22%E -0.560%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 01:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 01:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 01:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 01:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 01:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 01:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.67%E -0.773%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.67%E -0.773%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.49%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 01:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.67%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.67%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 01:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.66%E -2.67%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 01:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 01:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 01:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 01:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.75%E -7.25%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.60%E -6.56%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 01:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 01:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-04-23 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 01:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.28% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.03% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 01:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.71% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.74% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.55% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 01:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 01:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 01:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 01:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 01:30 |