L’École des cotes

Minnesota Wild v Dallas Stars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 01:55 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Wild 3–4 Dallas Stars

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prévision 54.48%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.47%54.26%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.761.8061.73%57.00%56.82%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Stars (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.52%2.20cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%45.53%45.74%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.092.102.1752.08%47.74%47.62%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.04%E -1.43%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 01:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 01:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 01:35
theScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.49%E -1.39%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.22%E -0.560%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-23 01:50
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 01:30
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 01:29
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 01:19
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 01:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 01:20
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 01:29
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 01:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 01:28
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 01:19
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 01:39
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 01:39
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.67%E -0.773%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 01:44
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.67%E -0.773%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 01:45
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.49%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 01:29
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.77%E -2.79%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 01:20
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.67%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 01:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.67%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 01:14
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.66%E -2.67%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 01:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 01:24
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 01:24
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 01:15
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 01:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.58%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 01:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 01:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 01:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 01:25
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.13%E -0.989%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 21:30
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.75%E -7.25%K -18.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.60%E -6.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 01:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-04-23 01:29
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-23 01:49
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-23 01:49
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-23 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-04-23 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-04-23 01:50
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-23 01:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-04-23 01:45
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%10.3%2026-04-23 01:45

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 42.28%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-04-23 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-04-23 01:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-04-23 01:35
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-04-23 01:35
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-04-23 01:35
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.03%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-04-23 01:29
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%4.9%2026-04-23 01:19
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%4.9%2026-04-23 01:29
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.82%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.71%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%5.2%2026-04-22 10:19
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%5.4%2026-04-23 01:34
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%5.4%2026-04-23 01:35
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%5.4%2026-04-23 01:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%5.9%2026-04-23 01:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.74%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-04-23 01:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.55%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-04-23 01:25
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-23 01:24
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-04-23 01:30
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-04-23 01:33
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-04-23 01:29
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%11.6%2026-04-23 01:50
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%12.6%2026-04-23 01:30