Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Wild (Local): 65.36%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 34.64%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.462%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +0.462%E +0.159%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.27%E -0.446%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.66%E -0.945%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.66%E -0.945%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 23:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.39%E -1.59%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 23:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 19:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -7.16%E -2.67%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.04% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.15% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63% | 12.8% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41% | 16.7% | 2026-10-04 00:04 |