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Minnesota Wild v Boston Bruins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Wild (Local)
Predicción 65.36%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.35%65.41%66.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.471.5072.46%68.34%68.03%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boston Bruins (Visitante)
Predicción 34.64%2.89momio equitativo
EV +0.462%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.243%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.18%34.65%34.59%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.37%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Wild (Local): 65.36%; Boston Bruins (Visitante): 34.64%. Para Boston Bruins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.89. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.462%.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +0.462%E +0.159%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.27%E -0.446%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -1.96%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.66%E -0.945%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.66%E -0.945%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 23:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.39%E -1.59%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 23:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 19:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.09%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 00:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.47%E -2.40%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -7.16%E -2.67%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 00:11 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.04% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.15% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63% | 12.8% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41% | 16.7% | 2026-10-04 00:04 |