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Los Angeles Kings v Calgary Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Kings (Local)
Prediction 57.37%1.74fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%57.37%57.40%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.671.7165.36%60.07%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Flames (Visit)
Prediction 42.63%2.35fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.841%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%42.63%42.60%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.252.252.3248.31%44.54%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 57.37%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 42.63%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.24%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.81%E -1.23%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.24%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.24%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:37 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 23:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.48%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.22%E -7.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.77%E -5.68%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 23:47 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.08% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.82% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.40% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.57% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.03% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 23:33 |