L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Kings v Calgary Flames

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prévision 57.37%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.14%57.37%57.40%58.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.661.671.7165.36%60.07%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Flames (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.63%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.478%
Kelly -0.841%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.48%42.63%42.60%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.252.252.3248.31%44.54%44.44%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.24%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-28 23:39
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 23:49
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 23:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 23:14
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 23:29
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:44
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 23:44
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.81%E -1.23%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:59
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.24%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 23:30
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.24%E -1.43%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 23:14
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 23:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:49
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.08%E -3.25%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:49
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:49
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 12:10
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:24
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 22:37
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:44
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:39
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:25
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:24
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 13:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 23:04
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 23:18
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 23:49
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:24
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:24
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.48%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.96%E -0.853%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:49
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.22%E -7.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.77%E -5.68%K -11.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-02-28 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-02-28 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-02-28 23:54
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-02-28 23:54
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-02-28 23:47
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-02-28 23:49
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-02-28 23:49
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-02-28 23:54

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-02-28 23:49
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%3.9%2026-02-28 23:14
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.08%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.82%4.6%2026-02-28 23:54
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-02-28 23:19
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.40%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.57%4.8%2026-02-28 23:34
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-02-28 23:09
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-02-28 19:15
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-02-28 23:49
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-02-28 23:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-02-28 23:14
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-02-28 23:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%9.8%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%10.9%2026-02-28 23:49
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%10.9%2026-02-28 23:33