Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Panthers v Minnesota Wild

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 22:08 UTC

Final: Florida Panthers 1–4 Minnesota Wild

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prediction 55.31%1.81fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.22%55.27%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.7761.35%57.83%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Wild (Visit)

Prediction 44.69%2.24fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%44.78%44.73%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2050.00%46.93%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Panthers (Local): 55.31%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 44.69%. For Minnesota Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 22:00
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.69%E -0.768%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 22:05
Caesars🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 21:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 21:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 18:20
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.48%E -1.61%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 22:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 22:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 22:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 22:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 22:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.84%E -6.04%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.63%E -5.31%K -10.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-10 22:00
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-10-10 22:05
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-10-10 22:05
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-10-10 21:59
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%4.1%2026-10-10 22:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-10-10 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-10-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-10-10 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-10-10 22:00
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60%4.8%2026-10-10 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%4.9%2026-10-10 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-10-10 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-10-10 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-10-10 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.55%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-10 21:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-10 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-10-10 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-10-10 22:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%11.1%2026-10-10 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%12.4%2026-10-10 22:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%15.9%2026-10-10 21:59