Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Florida Panthers (Local): 55.31%; Minnesota Wild (Visitante): 44.69%. Para Minnesota Wild (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.24. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.20, con un valor esperado de -1.69%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
19 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.10%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.69%E -0.768%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.05%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 21:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.16%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.39%E -4.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.48%E -1.61%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.37%E -2.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.31%E -2.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.86%E -2.83%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.26%E -2.48%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.17%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.97%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.93%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.84%E -6.04%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.63%E -5.31%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.55% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 22:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 22:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 21:59 |