The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Florida Panthers v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prediction 48.85%2.05fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%49.04%48.95%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.952.0256.18%51.46%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 51.15%1.96fair odd
EV -0.259%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.96%51.05%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.851.9557.80%53.63%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Panthers (Local): 48.85%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 51.15%. For Detroit Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.259%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.32%E -0.654%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.32%E -0.654%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.86%E -2.61%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.32%E -0.654%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.76%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.25%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 21:30
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:24
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:59
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
ReBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -1.28%E -0.664%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:24
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 21:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 22:58
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.28%E -0.664%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.28%E -0.664%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.259%E -0.133%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.770%E -0.397%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.05%E -7.33%K -16.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.51%E -6.65%K -15.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-03-10 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%5.4%2026-03-10 22:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-03-10 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%7.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.58%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%9.8%2026-03-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%9.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-03-10 22:54