L’École des cotes

Florida Panthers v Detroit Red Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prévision 48.85%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.654%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.40%49.04%48.95%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.952.0256.18%51.46%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.15%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.259%
Avantage -0.133%
Kelly -0.272%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.96%51.05%52.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.861.851.9557.80%53.63%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.32%E -0.654%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -1.32%E -0.654%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -4.86%E -2.61%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.32%E -0.654%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 23:00
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.76%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.25%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 21:30
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:24
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:00
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:24
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 22:59
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -1.28%E -0.664%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:24
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 22:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 21:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 22:59
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 22:58
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.28%E -0.664%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.28%E -0.664%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.259%E -0.133%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:00
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -0.770%E -0.397%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.05%E -7.33%K -16.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -11.51%E -6.65%K -15.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.59%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.41%1.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-03-10 23:00
BetOpenly1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%5.4%2026-03-10 22:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%3.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%4.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-03-10 23:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%7.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.58%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%9.8%2026-03-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%9.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-03-10 22:54