The School of Odds
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Edmonton Oilers v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 02:17 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 49.69%2.01fair odd
EV -0.114%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.46%49.85%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.912.0157.14%52.50%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 50.31%1.99fair odd
EV +0.611%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.611%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%50.15%50.00%51.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.902.0057.14%52.57%52.49%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 49.69%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 50.31%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.611%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.611%E +0.305%K +0.611%G +0.004%4.6%2026-04-05 02:15
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 02:14
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 02:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 02:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 02:02
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 02:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 02:14
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:13
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:06
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:06
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:13
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -0.114%E -0.057%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -1.11%E -0.557%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 02:07
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -1.11%E -0.557%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 02:08
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.59%E -1.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:13
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:14
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:14
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 02:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -13.03%E -7.45%K -17.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -11.97%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-05 02:15
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-05 02:14
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-05 02:15
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-04-05 02:14
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-04-05 02:15
Novig◎1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%6.8%2026-04-05 02:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%4.2%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.23%5.8%2026-04-05 02:14
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-04-05 02:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-05 02:14
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-04-05 02:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.87%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%9.0%2026-04-05 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-04-05 02:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%10.0%2026-04-05 02:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%10.5%2026-04-05 02:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%12.1%2026-04-05 02:14