L’École des cotes

Edmonton Oilers v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 02:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prévision 49.69%2.01cote équitable
EV -0.114%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.46%49.85%50.00%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.912.0157.14%52.50%52.36%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.31%1.99cote équitable
EV +0.611%
Avantage +0.305%
Kelly +0.611%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%50.15%50.00%51.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.902.0057.14%52.57%52.49%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

19 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.611%E +0.305%K +0.611%G +0.004%4.6%2026-04-05 02:15
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 02:14
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 02:14
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:15
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.90%E -0.977%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 02:14
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 02:02
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 02:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 02:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:15
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:13
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:06
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:06
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 02:14
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:13
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -0.114%E -0.057%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 02:10
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -1.11%E -0.557%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 02:07
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -1.11%E -0.557%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 02:08
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.59%E -1.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:13
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:14
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 02:14
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 02:14
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -13.03%E -7.45%K -17.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -11.97%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-05 02:15
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-05 02:14
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-05 02:15
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-04-05 02:14
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%3.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-04-05 02:15
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%6.8%2026-04-05 02:15

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (19)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.89%2.8%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%4.2%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:15
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.23%5.8%2026-04-05 02:14
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-04-05 02:14
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-05 02:14
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-04-05 02:14
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-04-05 02:14
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.87%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%9.0%2026-04-05 02:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-04-05 02:14
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%10.0%2026-04-05 02:13
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%10.5%2026-04-05 02:14
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%12.1%2026-04-05 02:14