The School of Odds
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Edmonton Oilers v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.22%59.05%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.621.621.6767.57%61.89%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV +0.327%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.226%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.78%40.95%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.342.4546.08%42.74%42.64%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 59.05%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 40.95%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.327%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.327%E +0.134%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-17 21:15
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.327%E +0.134%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-17 21:15
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.327%E +0.134%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.9%2026-03-17 21:15
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.492%E -0.202%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.13%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-18 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:59
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 09:30
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:54
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:55
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:55
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 16:25
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 00:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 00:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.22%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.22%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.63%E -2.91%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 01:00
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.61%E -8.52%K -26.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.14%E -5.13%K -9.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-18 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-18 00:55
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-17 22:30
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-18 01:00
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-18 01:00
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-18 01:00
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98%1.4%2026-03-18 00:59
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-18 00:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67%2.9%2026-03-17 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67%2.9%2026-03-17 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67%2.9%2026-03-17 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67%2.9%2026-03-17 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%4.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.54%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-03-18 00:54
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13%4.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.17%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%4.8%2026-03-18 01:00
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%5.1%2026-03-17 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%5.4%2026-03-17 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%5.4%2026-03-17 21:15
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%5.4%2026-03-17 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%6.2%2026-03-17 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-03-18 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%7.5%2026-03-17 21:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%8.6%2026-03-18 01:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.82%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%8.9%2026-03-18 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%11.0%2026-03-18 00:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%11.2%2026-03-18 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%14.1%2026-03-18 01:00