L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.67
avec la cote maximale 2.45
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.327%E +0.134%K +0.226%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.327%E +0.134%K +0.226%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.327%E +0.134%K +0.226%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.492%E -0.202%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 16:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.13%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 23:59 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 09:30 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 16:25 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.39%E -0.830%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.22%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.22%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.63%E -2.91%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.61%E -8.52%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.14%E -5.13%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 22:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| BetOpenly | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 00:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.67% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.54% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.25% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.17% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 00:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.82% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97% | 11.0% | 2026-03-18 00:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93% | 11.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92% | 14.1% | 2026-03-18 01:00 |