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Edmonton Oilers v Ottawa Senators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmonton Oilers (Local)
Prediction 51.18%1.95fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.17%51.06%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.851.9358.82%54.03%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Senators (Visit)
Prediction 48.82%2.05fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.83%48.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.19%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 51.18%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 48.82%. For Edmonton Oilers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.23%E -0.635%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 02:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -1.74%E -0.905%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -1.74%E -0.905%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 02:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.27%E -1.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.37%E -4.07%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.29%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.46%E -6.62%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.00%E -7.65%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-04 01:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.47% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.34% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 02:02 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.86% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.84% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.36% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 02:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.21% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.48% | 18.6% | 2026-03-04 02:10 |