L’École des cotes

Edmonton Oilers v Ottawa Senators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 02:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prévision 51.18%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.17%51.06%53.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.851.851.9358.82%54.03%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.82%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%48.83%48.94%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.19%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.23%E -0.635%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 02:06
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -1.74%E -0.905%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -1.74%E -0.905%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 02:08
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 02:09
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 02:06
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 02:04
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:07
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.27%E -1.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:05
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:10
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:06
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.30%E -2.30%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:06
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 02:10
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:10
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:09
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 01:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:08
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:10
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.83%E -3.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.31%E -2.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:10
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:06
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:07
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 02:09
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 02:09
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.34%E -3.47%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 02:10
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.37%E -4.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.29%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 02:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.88%E -4.38%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 02:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.46%E -6.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 02:10
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -13.00%E -7.65%K -18.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.66%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-04 01:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-03-04 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-03-04 02:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-04 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-03-04 02:10
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-03-04 02:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%3.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%11.2%2026-03-04 02:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.47%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%2.9%2026-03-04 02:10
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%4.6%2026-03-04 01:59
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.34%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.7%2026-03-04 01:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-03-04 02:09
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-03-04 02:10
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-03-04 02:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-04 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-04 02:10
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-03-04 02:02
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.86%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%10.0%2026-03-04 02:09
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-03-04 02:10
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%10.9%2026-03-04 02:10
Unibet (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.84%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%11.1%2026-03-04 02:03
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%11.2%2026-03-04 02:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.21%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.48%18.6%2026-03-04 02:10