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Edmonton Oilers v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmonton Oilers (Local)
Prediction 63.44%1.58fair odd
EV -0.403%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.706%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%63.56%63.48%65.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5768.03%65.82%65.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 36.56%2.74fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.923%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.59%36.44%36.52%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.62%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 63.44%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 36.56%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.75%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.64%E +0.591%K +0.923%G +0.015% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.31%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.65%E -0.613%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.65%E -0.613%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-21 02:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -2.38%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 02:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.403%E -0.256%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04% | 3.5% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 02:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |