La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78
20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.75%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.64%E +0.591%K +0.923%G +0.015% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.31%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.65%E -0.613%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.65%E -0.613%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-21 02:06 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -2.38%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 02:14 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.403%E -0.256%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04% | 3.5% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Novig | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 02:18 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 02:20 |