La scuola delle quote

Edmonton Oilers v Anaheim Ducks

Inizio: 2026-04-21 02:22 UTC

Finale: Edmonton Oilers 4–3 Anaheim Ducks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Casa)

Previsione 63.44%1.58quota equa
EV -0.403%
Vantaggio -0.256%
Kelly -0.706%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.25%63.56%63.48%65.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.521.521.5768.03%65.82%65.57%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anaheim Ducks (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.56%2.74quota equa
EV +1.64%
Vantaggio +0.591%
Kelly +0.923%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.59%36.44%36.52%39.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.62%38.46%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.75%E -4.59%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV +1.64%E +0.591%K +0.923%G +0.015%4.0%2026-04-21 02:15
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.31%E -1.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.65%E -0.613%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 02:15
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.65%E -0.613%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 02:06
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -2.38%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 02:15
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 02:15
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 02:15
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:15
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 02:14
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.11%E -4.13%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 02:20
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:20
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:20
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 02:15
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 02:20
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 02:15
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 02:15
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 02:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 02:20
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.21%E -2.79%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.67%E -2.20%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.84%E -3.23%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:15
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:15
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.57%E -2.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 02:15
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.94%E -1.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 02:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.403%E -0.256%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 02:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-04-21 02:15
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-21 02:15
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-04-21 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-04-21 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-04-21 02:20
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%3.5%2026-04-21 02:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%3.8%2026-04-21 02:20
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%5.7%2026-04-21 02:20

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (20)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.3%2026-04-21 02:20
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.3%2026-04-21 02:20
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.3%2026-04-21 02:20
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45%1.3%2026-04-21 02:20
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%3.3%2026-04-21 02:20
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 51.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%4.0%2026-04-21 02:20
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-04-21 02:20
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.7%2026-04-21 02:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%4.8%2026-04-21 02:15
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-04-21 02:15
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86%5.4%2026-04-21 02:19
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.20%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.86%5.4%2026-04-21 02:19
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%5.7%2026-04-21 02:20
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-21 02:15
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%6.9%2026-04-21 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%7.2%2026-04-21 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%7.3%2026-04-21 02:20
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.62%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%7.9%2026-04-21 02:18
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%8.2%2026-04-21 02:20
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%10.9%2026-04-21 02:20