La scuola delle quote

Detroit Red Wings v Vegas Golden Knights

Inizio: 2026-03-05 00:17 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Casa)

Previsione 55.47%1.80quota equa
EV -2.92%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -3.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%55.55%55.30%56.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.731.731.7559.17%57.93%57.80%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vegas Golden Knights (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.53%2.25quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.518%
Kelly -0.943%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.37%44.45%44.70%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.142.152.2247.62%46.64%46.51%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.93%E -1.34%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.93%E -1.34%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:14
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.15%E -0.518%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-05 00:14
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:15
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:07
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:15
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:01
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:13
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:04
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:14
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.93%E -1.34%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.15%E -0.518%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:08
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 00:13
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-05 00:15
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-03-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%5.8%2026-03-05 00:15
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%6.6%2026-03-05 00:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-03-05 00:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (19)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:14
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:14
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:15
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.89%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%3.5%2026-03-05 00:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.9%2026-03-05 00:14
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%7.8%2026-03-05 00:15
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.71%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%9.4%2026-03-05 00:01
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%9.7%2026-03-05 00:14
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%10.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Unibet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.54%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%10.9%2026-03-05 00:11
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.00%17.5%2026-03-05 00:15