L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 00:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 55.47%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%55.55%55.30%56.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.731.731.7559.17%57.93%57.80%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.53%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.943%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.37%44.45%44.70%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.142.152.2247.62%46.64%46.51%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

19 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.93%E -1.34%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.93%E -1.34%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:14
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.15%E -0.518%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-05 00:14
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:15
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:07
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:14
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:15
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:15
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:01
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:13
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:04
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:14
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.93%E -1.34%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.15%E -0.518%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:08
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 00:13
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-05 00:15
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-03-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%5.8%2026-03-05 00:15
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%6.6%2026-03-05 00:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-03-05 00:15

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (19)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:14
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:14
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:15
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.89%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%3.5%2026-03-05 00:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-03-05 00:15
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-03-05 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.9%2026-03-05 00:14
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%7.8%2026-03-05 00:15
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.71%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%9.4%2026-03-05 00:01
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%9.7%2026-03-05 00:14
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.26%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%10.2%2026-03-05 00:15
Unibet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.54%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%10.9%2026-03-05 00:11
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.00%17.5%2026-03-05 00:15