A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Detroit Red Wings v Philadelphia Flyers
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Detroit Red Wings (Local)
Previsão 51.50%1.94odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -1.69%
Kelly -3.61%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.67%51.55%51.62%52.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.841.851.8858.82%54.33%54.05%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante)
Previsão 48.50%2.06odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.762%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.24%48.45%48.38%49.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.982.0354.64%50.67%50.51%49.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.18%E -1.69%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.55%E -0.762%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 23:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.18%E -1.69%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.18%E -1.69%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:06 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 23:06 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:08 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:07 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:07 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:03 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.27%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.52%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.52%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -12.45%E -7.32%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-09 23:01 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.58% | 11.4% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)
Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.
| Casa de apostas | Opção 1 | Opção 2 | Opção 3 | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.30% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 23:09 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.98% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.07% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.72% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76% | 12.7% | 2026-04-09 23:10 |