L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 23:13 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 51.50%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%51.55%51.62%52.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.851.8858.82%54.33%54.05%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.50%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.762%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.24%48.45%48.38%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.982.0354.64%50.67%50.51%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.18%E -1.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.55%E -0.762%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-09 23:06
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.18%E -1.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.18%E -1.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 23:10
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:09
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:06
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 23:06
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:07
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:08
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:59
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:07
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.94%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:08
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 23:09
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:10
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:07
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.97%E -2.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:03
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:09
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.27%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.52%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.52%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 23:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.30%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.00%E -1.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -12.45%E -7.32%K -17.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-09 23:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-04-09 22:59
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-04-09 23:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-04-09 23:10
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%9.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.58%11.4%2026-04-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-09 23:10
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-04-09 23:10
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.78%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-04-09 22:59
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%4.6%2026-04-09 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%4.7%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-04-09 23:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.30%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%6.0%2026-04-09 23:09
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-04-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-09 23:09
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-09 23:10
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%7.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.98%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%7.5%2026-04-09 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-04-09 22:58
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-04-09 23:10
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 40.07%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-09 23:01
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-09 23:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.72%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%12.7%2026-04-09 23:10