The School of Odds
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Detroit Red Wings v Florida Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 58.15%1.72fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.17%58.16%59.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.641.651.6866.23%60.80%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 41.85%2.39fair odd
EV -0.389%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.282%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.50%41.83%41.84%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.282.292.3847.17%43.77%43.67%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 58.15%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 41.85%. For Florida Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.389%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:20
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 23:57
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.79%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 20:20
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:58
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.23%E -0.519%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.64%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 22:29
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:54
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 23:00
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.64%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 23:40
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.389%E -0.163%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 21:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 22:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 21:55
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:55
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:47
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.40%EV -12.20%E -8.08%K -23.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-06 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-03-06 23:59
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-07 00:00
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-06 23:55
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.4%2026-03-07 00:00
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-07 00:00
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-03-07 00:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%3.9%2026-03-06 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.01%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.48%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-03-06 23:59
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.09%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.8%2026-03-06 23:54
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-06 23:52
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-06 23:44
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-06 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-03-06 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-06 23:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-06 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.76%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.94%10.9%2026-03-06 23:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%11.1%2026-03-06 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.31%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%13.7%2026-03-06 23:59