L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Florida Panthers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 58.15%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.17%58.16%59.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.641.651.6866.23%60.80%60.61%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Panthers (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.85%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.389%
Avantage -0.163%
Kelly -0.282%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.50%41.83%41.84%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.282.292.3847.17%43.77%43.67%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:19
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:20
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 23:57
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.79%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 22:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 12:45
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 20:20
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 23:30
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:58
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.23%E -0.519%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 23:55
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 00:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.64%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 22:29
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 00:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:50
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.57%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:10
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 23:00
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:50
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.64%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 23:40
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.389%E -0.163%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 21:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.64%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 22:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 21:55
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:55
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 18:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.97%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:47
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.40%EV -12.20%E -8.08%K -23.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-06 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-03-06 23:59
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-07 00:00
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-06 23:55
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.4%2026-03-07 00:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-07 00:00
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-03-07 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%3.9%2026-03-06 23:45
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.01%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.48%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-03-06 23:59
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.09%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.8%2026-03-06 23:54
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-06 23:52
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-03-06 21:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-06 23:44
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-06 21:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-06 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-03-06 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-06 23:55
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-06 23:44
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.76%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.94%10.9%2026-03-06 23:41
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%11.1%2026-03-06 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.31%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%13.7%2026-03-06 23:59