The School of Odds
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Detroit Red Wings v Boston Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 52.33%1.91fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.44%52.36%52.22%53.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.821.831.8559.52%54.92%54.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 47.67%2.10fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.23%47.64%47.78%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.002.002.0754.05%50.01%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 52.33%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 47.67%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.81%E -0.877%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-21 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:30
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.19%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 23:29
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.10%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.10%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.10%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.19%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:55
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:49
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 20:24
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:48
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:33
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:54
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:53
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:55
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:29
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.33%E -0.642%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:54
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 21:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.08%E -7.19%K -17.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.82%E -6.39%K -13.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 22:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-03-21 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:54
Novig◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:59
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:54
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-21 23:30
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-03-21 19:54
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-03-22 00:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%4.0%2026-03-21 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.79%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.7%2026-03-21 23:59
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.7%2026-03-21 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:29
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%5.9%2026-03-21 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-03-21 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-21 22:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%9.4%2026-03-21 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%11.0%2026-03-21 23:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.35%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%11.1%2026-03-21 23:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%13.5%2026-03-22 00:00