L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Boston Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 52.33%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.44%52.36%52.22%53.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.821.831.8559.52%54.92%54.64%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.67%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.23%47.64%47.78%48.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.002.002.0754.05%50.01%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.81%E -0.877%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-21 17:19
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:29
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:30
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.19%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 23:29
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.10%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:30
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.10%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:30
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.10%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:29
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.18%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:29
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.19%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 15:49
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 20:24
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 23:48
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:30
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.23%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 20:25
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:33
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:54
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.75%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:54
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:53
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.67%E -2.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.80%E -3.22%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.62%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:29
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -6.85%E -3.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -1.33%E -0.642%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:54
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.37%E -4.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 21:14
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.08%E -7.19%K -17.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.82%E -6.39%K -13.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 22:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-03-21 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:54
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:59
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-21 23:54
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-21 23:30
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-03-21 19:54
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-03-22 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:29
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:30
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-21 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%4.0%2026-03-21 22:30
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.79%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.7%2026-03-21 23:59
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.7%2026-03-21 23:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-03-21 22:29
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%5.9%2026-03-21 22:30
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-03-21 22:39
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-21 22:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-03-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%9.4%2026-03-21 23:55
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%11.0%2026-03-21 23:53
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.35%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%11.1%2026-03-21 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%13.5%2026-03-22 00:00