Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars v Winnipeg Jets

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 00:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 58.11%1.72fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.19%58.17%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.651.651.7066.23%60.74%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Jets (Visit)

Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd
EV -0.710%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.81%41.83%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.292.3747.62%43.84%43.57%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 58.11%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 41.89%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -0.710%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.22%E -0.718%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-03 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 00:00
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 20:54
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 20:50
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.32%E -2.35%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.55%E -0.659%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 19:20
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 19:17
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:15
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 20:54
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 20:30
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.16%E -2.75%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 21:08
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.81%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.55%E -0.659%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 21:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:59
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 13:55
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.55%E -0.659%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -8.19%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -0.710%E -0.300%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 01:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -12.26%E -8.12%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.02%E -5.72%K -10.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-02 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-04-02 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-03 00:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.44%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.56%0.7%2026-04-03 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-03 00:05
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-03 00:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-03 00:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-02 19:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-02 23:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-02 20:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%3.7%2026-04-02 21:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-02 21:50
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-02 23:55
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-04-02 21:44
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-04-02 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-04-03 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-04-03 00:05
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-04-02 21:44
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-04-03 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-04-02 17:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-04-02 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.7%2026-04-02 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-04-03 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-04-02 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-03 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-02 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%10.1%2026-04-03 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.43%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%12.2%2026-04-03 00:05