L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v Winnipeg Jets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 00:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 58.11%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.19%58.17%60.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.651.651.7066.23%60.74%60.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Winnipeg Jets (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.89%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.710%
Avantage -0.300%
Kelly -0.519%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.00%41.81%41.83%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.292.3747.62%43.84%43.57%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.22%E -0.718%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-03 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:55
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 20:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 00:00
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 20:54
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 00:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 20:50
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 20:50
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 00:05
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.32%E -2.35%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 22:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.54%E -2.14%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 00:05
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.55%E -0.659%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 19:20
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.39%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 19:17
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:15
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 20:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 19:49
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 20:30
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 00:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 20:50
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.16%E -2.75%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 21:08
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 00:00
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.81%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:50
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.55%E -0.659%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 21:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 11:59
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 13:55
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.55%E -0.659%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -8.19%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -0.710%E -0.300%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 01:15
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -12.26%E -8.12%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.02%E -5.72%K -10.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-02 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-04-02 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-03 00:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.44%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.56%0.7%2026-04-03 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-03 00:05
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-03 00:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-03 00:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-02 19:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-02 23:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-02 20:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:45
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-04-02 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%3.7%2026-04-02 21:09
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-02 21:50
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-02 23:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%5.2%2026-04-02 21:44
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-04-02 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-04-03 00:05
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-04-03 00:05
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-04-02 21:44
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-04-03 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%6.8%2026-04-02 17:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-04-02 21:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.7%2026-04-02 23:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-04-03 00:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-04-02 21:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-03 00:00
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.66%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-02 21:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%10.1%2026-04-03 00:00
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.43%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%12.2%2026-04-03 00:05