The School of Odds
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Dallas Stars v New York Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 61.54%1.62fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%61.56%61.58%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.551.561.6070.42%64.44%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 38.46%2.60fair odd
EV -0.005%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.44%38.42%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.492.502.6043.10%40.22%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 61.54%; New York Rangers (Visit): 38.46%. For New York Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.6001. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.6000, with an expected value of -0.005%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:58
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 21:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Paddy Power🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.01%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:03
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.23%E -3.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 21:04
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:00
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -12.61%E -8.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 20:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-04-11 20:59
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-11 21:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.62%4.6%2026-04-11 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%6.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-04-11 21:03
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%7.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%8.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%8.1%2026-04-11 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%8.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%8.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-04-11 21:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%12.3%2026-04-11 21:05