L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v New York Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 61.54%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.959%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.30%61.56%61.58%62.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.551.561.6070.42%64.44%64.10%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.46%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.005%
Avantage -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%38.44%38.42%39.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.492.502.6043.10%40.22%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:58
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 21:03
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:59
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.01%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.77%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:03
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.61%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.23%E -3.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 21:04
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.93%E -0.756%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:57
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -12.61%E -8.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 20:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-04-11 20:59
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%1.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-11 21:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.62%4.6%2026-04-11 20:59
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.25%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%6.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-04-11 21:03
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%7.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%8.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%8.1%2026-04-11 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%8.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%8.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-04-11 21:01
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%12.3%2026-04-11 21:05