Language:English
Dallas Stars v Minnesota Wild
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Stars (Local)
Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.02%53.25%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8460.61%55.49%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Wild (Visit)
Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%46.98%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.032.022.0853.19%49.35%49.50%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 53.09%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 46.91%. For Dallas Stars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 00:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.71%E -2.84%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 01:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 04:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 21:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 04:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 04:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 04:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 00:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 00:48 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.40%E -7.52%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.81%E -6.28%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-09 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-04-09 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-04-10 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.40% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 15:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 00:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57% | 12.2% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |