L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v Minnesota Wild

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 53.09%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%53.02%53.25%53.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.801.801.8460.61%55.49%55.56%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.91%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%46.98%46.75%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.032.022.0853.19%49.35%49.50%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 23:55
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 00:50
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 00:50
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 00:39
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.71%E -2.84%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:25
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 00:44
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 00:45
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.85%E -1.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 04:58
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 17:19
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 21:03
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.38%E -1.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 00:50
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 22:35
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.91%E -2.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 00:44
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 19:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 19:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 04:58
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 04:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 04:14
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 20:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 20:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 20:45
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 00:50
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 00:49
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 09:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.44%E -2.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 00:48
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 08:59
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 08:59
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.97%E -2.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.30%E -2.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 12:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.36%E -1.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 08:59
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.50%E -3.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.24%E -2.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 20:45
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.83%E -1.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 20:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.03%E -3.41%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.40%E -7.52%K -19.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.81%E -6.28%K -13.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-09 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-04-09 23:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-09 23:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-10 01:00
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%2.2%2026-04-10 01:05
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%2.4%2026-04-10 01:00
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-04-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-10 01:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%3.5%2026-04-10 01:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-09 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-09 12:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-09 13:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-09 20:04
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.40%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-09 23:50
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91%4.7%2026-04-10 00:54
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-09 15:05
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-09 15:05
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-09 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%5.0%2026-04-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-04-10 01:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-09 15:54
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-04-09 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%6.9%2026-04-10 00:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-04-09 08:59
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-04-10 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-04-10 00:50
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-04-10 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-10 01:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-04-10 01:00
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%12.2%2026-04-09 12:19