The School of Odds
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Dallas Stars v Edmonton Oilers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 53.86%1.86fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.14%53.88%53.95%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.771.781.8261.73%56.42%56.18%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Edmonton Oilers (Visit)

Prediction 46.14%2.17fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.12%46.05%46.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.072.052.1452.08%48.36%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 53.86%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 46.14%. For Edmonton Oilers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -1.98%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:28
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 14:55
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 00:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 00:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 16:10
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 23:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.64%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.64%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:15
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.33%E -3.12%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:15
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.33%E -3.12%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:15
ReBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.57%E -1.71%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.03%E -1.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 15:09
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.95%E -2.40%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:29
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.80%E -3.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.80%E -3.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 09:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 03:20
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.95%E -2.40%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 15:00
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.26%E -0.588%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.26%E -0.588%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 18:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 21:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:48
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.28%E -3.61%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.18%E -1.03%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 12:15
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.82%E -3.94%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 14:50
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.90%E -4.62%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -12.75%E -7.87%K -20.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -11.41%E -5.94%K -12.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-12 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-03-12 23:50
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-03-12 23:50
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-03-12 23:50
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-12 13:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-03-12 23:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.37%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.67%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.95%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.4%2026-03-12 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.4%2026-03-12 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.4%2026-03-12 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.4%2026-03-12 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.38%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%3.9%2026-03-12 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-12 12:14
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-03-12 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-03-12 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-12 23:35
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%7.5%2026-03-12 12:15
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-03-12 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-12 23:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%9.5%2026-03-12 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%9.7%2026-03-12 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.18%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%9.8%2026-03-12 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.23%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%11.2%2026-03-12 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%14.9%2026-03-12 23:30