L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.82
avec la cote maximale 2.14
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -1.98%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:28 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 00:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 00:39 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 16:10 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 05:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.64%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -2.64%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.33%E -3.12%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.59%E -2.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.33%E -3.12%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| ReBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.57%E -1.71%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.03%E -1.94%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.95%E -2.40%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.80%E -3.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.13%E -2.32%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.80%E -3.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 09:25 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 03:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.95%E -2.40%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.67%E -2.64%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.26%E -0.588%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.26%E -0.588%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.75%E -3.28%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.41%E -2.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:48 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.28%E -3.61%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.18%E -1.03%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.82%E -3.94%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 14:50 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.90%E -4.62%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -12.75%E -7.87%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -11.41%E -5.94%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 13:39 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.37% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.67% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.95% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.38% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.43% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:14 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.93% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 23:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.89% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.07% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.18% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.23% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.00% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 23:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03% | 14.9% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |