Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Blue Jackets v Washington Capitals

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 23:10 UTC

Final: Columbus Blue Jackets 1–2 Washington Capitals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Blue Jackets (Local)

Prediction 57.59%1.74fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%57.64%57.50%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.671.7065.36%60.18%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Capitals (Visit)

Prediction 42.41%2.36fair odd
EV -0.347%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.257%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.36%42.50%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.39%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Blue Jackets (Local): 57.59%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 42.41%. For Washington Capitals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.347%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 15:59
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 22:54
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.86%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.62%E -0.698%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:05
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 23:03
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 23:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.16%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 20:00
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.28%E -2.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.28%E -2.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.39%E -2.65%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.44%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 15:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 17:10
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.01%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 21:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.347%E -0.148%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:58
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -11.88%E -7.76%K -22.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.22%E -5.90%K -11.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-04-14 22:58
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%7.3%2026-04-14 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:30
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-04-14 20:30
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.72%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.64%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.64%4.7%2026-04-14 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.12%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.93%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:24
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-04-14 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-14 21:10
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-14 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%8.0%2026-04-14 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%8.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%8.4%2026-04-14 23:01
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%9.1%2026-04-14 23:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.92%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%9.1%2026-04-14 20:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%12.8%2026-04-14 22:40