L’École des cotes

Columbus Blue Jackets v Washington Capitals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 23:10 UTC

Score final : Columbus Blue Jackets 1–2 Washington Capitals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Columbus Blue Jackets (Local)

Prévision 57.59%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.41%57.64%57.50%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.661.671.7065.36%60.18%59.88%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Capitals (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.41%2.36cote équitable
EV -0.347%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.257%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%42.36%42.50%43.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.39%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:25
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.09%E -1.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 15:59
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 22:54
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.67%E -1.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.86%E -2.64%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:15
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.62%E -0.698%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 22:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.24%E -1.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:05
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 23:03
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 21:30
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 23:04
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 15:54
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.16%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 20:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 22:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.28%E -2.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.82%E -2.29%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.28%E -2.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.39%E -2.65%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.44%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 15:57
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:15
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 22:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 17:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.01%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 21:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 22:54
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -3.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.54%E -3.38%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.347%E -0.148%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:58
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.70%E -4.13%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -11.88%E -7.76%K -22.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.22%E -5.90%K -11.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-14 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-04-14 22:58
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-14 22:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%7.3%2026-04-14 23:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:24
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:30
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%3.2%2026-04-14 20:30
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-04-14 20:30
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.72%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.64%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.64%4.7%2026-04-14 22:55
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.12%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.93%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-14 20:24
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-04-14 20:24
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-14 21:10
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-14 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%8.0%2026-04-14 22:45
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%8.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%8.4%2026-04-14 23:01
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-04-14 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%9.1%2026-04-14 23:04
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.92%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%9.1%2026-04-14 20:59
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%12.8%2026-04-14 22:40