The School of Odds
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Chicago Blackhawks v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 00:40 UTC

Final: Chicago Blackhawks 5–2 San Jose Sharks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 47.07%2.12fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.11%46.88%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.022.1053.48%49.61%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.89%53.13%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.811.811.8760.61%55.29%55.40%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 47.07%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 52.93%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.15%E -0.549%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 00:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 00:34
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.08%E -1.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 00:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 23:59
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 23:59
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 00:33
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.45%E -2.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 00:00
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 00:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 20:35
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:34
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 00:34
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.39%E -2.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:34
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:34
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:54
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 00:29
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 18:01
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.02%E -0.546%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 00:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 00:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.98%E -6.41%K -13.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.67%E -7.68%K -19.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-15 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-04-16 00:34
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Novig◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-04-16 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-04-16 00:35
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.06%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94%2.7%2026-04-16 00:34
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%4.8%2026-04-16 00:34

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:39
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.07%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.32%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.62%4.7%2026-04-16 00:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-15 22:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-04-15 23:09
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-04-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-04-15 23:14
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%7.1%2026-04-15 20:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-04-16 00:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-04-16 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-04-16 00:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-15 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%9.1%2026-04-15 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%12.1%2026-04-15 20:39