L’École des cotes

Chicago Blackhawks v San Jose Sharks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 00:40 UTC

Score final : Chicago Blackhawks 5–2 San Jose Sharks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prévision 47.07%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.549%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%47.11%46.88%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.022.022.1053.48%49.61%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Jose Sharks (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.93%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.89%53.13%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.811.811.8760.61%55.29%55.40%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.15%E -0.549%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:28
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 00:34
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 00:34
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.08%E -1.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 00:09
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 23:59
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 23:59
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 00:33
Bet Right2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.45%E -2.19%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 00:00
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 00:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 20:35
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:34
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.92%E -2.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 00:34
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.39%E -2.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:34
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:54
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:04
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 00:29
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:54
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.67%E -2.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:10
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 18:01
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 00:34
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.80%E -3.44%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.02%E -0.546%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 23:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 00:24
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 00:34
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.98%E -6.41%K -13.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.67%E -7.68%K -19.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-15 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-04-16 00:34
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-04-16 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-04-16 00:35
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.06%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94%2.7%2026-04-16 00:34
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-04-16 00:34
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%4.8%2026-04-16 00:34

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:39
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-15 20:39
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.07%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.32%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.62%4.7%2026-04-16 00:24
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-15 22:49
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-04-15 23:09
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-15 20:39
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-04-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-04-15 23:14
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%7.1%2026-04-15 20:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-04-16 00:29
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-04-16 00:35
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-04-16 00:34
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-15 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%9.1%2026-04-15 18:00
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%12.1%2026-04-15 20:39