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Chicago Blackhawks v Buffalo Sabres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Blackhawks (Local)
Prediction 35.85%2.79fair odd
EV -0.346%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.195%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%35.69%35.80%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.672.692.7840.49%37.41%37.24%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visit)
Prediction 64.15%1.56fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.31%64.20%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.491.501.5372.99%67.24%66.89%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 35.85%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 64.15%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.78, with an expected value of -0.346%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -0.346%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.69%E -3.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.69%E -3.87%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.81%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.81%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.14%E -0.783%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:27 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -3.57%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -1.85%E -1.21%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.57%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.93%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.41%E -2.96%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.05%E -3.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.80%E -2.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.98%E -4.81%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 00:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.77%E -2.51%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.68%EV -11.46%E -4.64%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.32%EV -12.11%E -8.84%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | -0.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.88% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.03% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.82% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.69% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.48% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22% | 12.2% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |